Documentation

Linglib.Phenomena.Conditionals.Studies.ZaniCiardelliSanfelici2026

@cite{zani-ciardelli-sanfelici-2026} — SDA from Acquisition #

Simplification of disjunctive antecedents: Insights from acquisition. Semantics and Pragmatics 19(3).

Core Contribution #

Experimental study of 148 Italian children (ages 4;1–9;11) and 28 adults on disjunctive antecedent conditionals (DACs), testing three readings:

  1. SDA (Simplification, @cite{mckay-vaninwagen-1977}): "if A or B, C" ≡ "(if A, C) and (if B, C)"
  2. DCR (Disjunctive Conditional Reading): "if A or B, C" ≡ "(if A, C) or (if B, C)"
  3. AR (Asymmetric Reading): only the more realistic disjunct matters

Key Findings #

  1. SDA is the preferred reading at all ages, already dominant at age 4–5
  2. AR is nearly absent (2.3% of children's responses)
  3. DCR decreases with age while SDA increases — a DCR→SDA developmental shift strictly parallel to the existential→universal shift in plural definites (@cite{tieu-kriz-chemla-2019})
  4. No indicative/counterfactual difference (Mode non-significant, p = 0.869)
  5. SDA does not require equally realistic disjuncts (contra @cite{lewis-1973})

Theoretical Implications #

The DCR→SDA trajectory supports homogeneity-based accounts (@cite{santorio-2018}, @cite{cariani-goldstein-2020}) over:

Connection to Linglib #

def ZaniCiardelliSanfelici2026.dcrEval {W : Type u_1} [DecidableEq W] [Fintype W] (sim : Core.Order.SimilarityOrdering W) (alts : List (Phenomena.Conditionals.Studies.Santorio2018.DecAlt W)) (C : WProp) [DecidablePred C] (w : W) :

DCR (Disjunctive Conditional Reading): existential resolution over per-alternative conditionals — "if A or B, C" iff some simplification (if A, C) ∨ (if B, C) holds.

Named in @cite{zani-ciardelli-sanfelici-2026} (p. 10): "We will refer to this reading of DACs as the disjunctive conditional reading." Lives in this file (rather than the @cite{santorio-2018} substrate) because DCR is not part of Santorio's framework.

Equations
Instances For
    @[implicit_reducible]
    instance ZaniCiardelliSanfelici2026.instDecidableDcrEval {W : Type u_1} [DecidableEq W] [Fintype W] (sim : Core.Order.SimilarityOrdering W) (alts : List (Phenomena.Conditionals.Studies.Santorio2018.DecAlt W)) (C : WProp) [DecidablePred C] (w : W) :
    Decidable (dcrEval sim alts C w)
    Equations

    The three theoretically predicted readings of disjunctive antecedent conditionals (DACs). Table 2 of the paper.

    Instances For
      Equations
      • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
      Instances For
        @[implicit_reducible]
        Equations

        Alternative semantics validates SDA universally (for two alternatives): "if {A,B}, C" ≡ ∀p ∈ {A,B}. min_w(p) ⊆ C ≡ (if A, C) ∧ (if B, C). Under Lewis, SDA is only contingently valid.

        Conditional mode (indicative vs counterfactual).

        Instances For
          Equations
          • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
          Instances For
            @[implicit_reducible]
            Equations

            Age groups in the study. Table 1.

            Instances For
              Equations
              • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
              Instances For
                @[implicit_reducible]
                Equations

                The four target items per scenario. Table 3. Each item has a disjunctive antecedent where the consequent matches one disjunct's prize (making one simplification true, one false).

                • label : String
                • sdaPrediction : Bool
                • dcrPrediction : Bool
                • arPrediction : Bool
                Instances For
                  Equations
                  • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                  Instances For
                    Equations
                    • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                    Instances For

                      Overall pattern rates (percentages, one-decimal precision as reported).

                      • sda :
                      • dcr :
                      • ar :
                      • other :
                      Instances For
                        Equations
                        • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                        Instances For

                          Children's overall rates (across modes and age groups).

                          Equations
                          Instances For

                            Adults' overall rates (across modes). From Table 6 profiles: 26 SDA, 1 DCR, 1 mixed (AR ctf / DCR ind). Scenario-level: SDA 92.9%, DCR 5.4%, AR 1.8%.

                            Equations
                            Instances For

                              Rates per mode (from Figure 5). All four pattern categories.

                              • indicativeSDA :
                              • counterfactualSDA :
                              • indicativeDCR :
                              • counterfactualDCR :
                              • indicativeAR :
                              • counterfactualAR :
                              • indicativeOther :
                              • counterfactualOther :
                              Instances For
                                Equations
                                • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                Instances For
                                  Equations
                                  • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                  Instances For
                                    Equations
                                    • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                    Instances For

                                      Finding 4: No indicative/counterfactual difference. Adults show identical SDA rates; children are very similar. (Table 4: Mode coefficient p = 0.869 for DCR vs SDA.)

                                      Per-age-group pattern rates (from Figure 4 bar chart annotations). This is the paper's core developmental data. Values are approximate (read from bar chart, not tabulated in paper).

                                      Equations
                                      Instances For

                                        The developmental shift: SDA overtakes DCR. At every age, SDA ≥ DCR, and by adulthood SDA dominates completely.

                                        AR is marginal (< 5%) at every age group. This rules out Lewis's prediction that AR should be common in younger children.

                                        9.6% of children refused to judge DACs as true or false, saying they were "half true and half false." This is direct behavioral evidence for the truth-value gap predicted by homogeneity theory: when one simplification is true and the other false, the DAC lacks a definite truth value.

                                        10 children showed this pattern consistently across all 4 scenarios; 6 more did so in at least one scenario.

                                        Equations
                                        Instances For

                                          The refusal rate is substantial — nearly 1 in 10 children.

                                          Cross-mode consistency: children overwhelmingly derive the same reading in both indicative and counterfactual scenarios. Table 5 diagonal entries.

                                          • sdaSda :
                                          • dcrDcr :
                                          • arAr :
                                          • otherOther :
                                          Instances For
                                            Equations
                                            • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                            Instances For
                                              Equations
                                              Instances For
                                                Equations
                                                Instances For

                                                  Children who are consistent across modes (on the diagonal).

                                                  Adults are almost all SDA-consistent.

                                                  Rates among participants who accepted the closeness evaluation item (indicating they regard one disjunct as MORE realistic). Table 8. Lewis predicts AR for these participants.

                                                  • adultsSDA :
                                                  • childrenSDA :
                                                  • adultsAR :
                                                  • childrenAR :
                                                  Instances For
                                                    Equations
                                                    • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                                    Instances For
                                                      Equations
                                                      Instances For

                                                        Finding 5: Even among participants who regard disjuncts as non-equally realistic, SDA dominates and AR is marginal. This directly falsifies Lewis's prediction.

                                                        The developmental trajectory for DACs parallels the trajectory for plural definites (@cite{tieu-kriz-chemla-2019}):

                                                        Plural definitesDACsResolution
                                                        Existential (EXI)DCR∃ (some satisfy → true)
                                                        Homogeneous (HOM)SDA∀ (all must satisfy)
                                                        Universal (UNI)

                                                        Both phenomena show the same developmental pattern: younger children start existential (accepting when ANY element satisfies) and shift to universal/homogeneous (requiring ALL elements to satisfy).

                                                        Equations
                                                        Instances For

                                                          Both phenomena show the same direction of shift. In TieuKrizChemla2019, the EXI/−SI group (existential, no implicatures) exists in young children and gives way to HOM groups. Here, DCR exists in young children and gives way to SDA.

                                                          Theories of SDA and their predictions about developmental trajectory.

                                                          Instances For
                                                            Equations
                                                            • One or more equations did not get rendered due to their size.
                                                            Instances For
                                                              @[implicit_reducible]
                                                              Equations

                                                              Homogeneity theory correctly predicts the developmental trajectory. Lewis and exhaustification predict AR as the pre-SDA stage, but AR is nearly absent.

                                                              Answers to the Five Research Questions #

                                                              Q1: At what age does SDA arise? Already at age 4–5, SDA is the most frequent non-deviant reading. This parallels the early emergence of free-choice inferences (@cite{tieu-etal-2016}).

                                                              Q2: Do children shift from AR to SDA? No. AR is nearly absent (2.3%). The two participants who consistently showed AR were aged 8;0 and 9;7 — not young children with undeveloped pragmatic skills. This is unexpected on @cite{bar-lev-fox-2020}'s account.

                                                              Q3: Do children shift from DCR to SDA? Yes. DCR is higher in younger children (~25% at ages 4–7) and decreases with age, while SDA increases. This DCR→SDA shift parallels the EXI→HOM shift in plural definites (@cite{tieu-kriz-chemla-2019}).

                                                              Q4: Does SDA arise earlier for indicatives than counterfactuals? No. Mode has no significant effect (p = 0.869). Children show the same reading in both modes (Table 5). This supports uniform accounts of conditionals.

                                                              Q5: Does SDA require equally realistic disjuncts? No. Among participants who regarded disjuncts as non-equally realistic, SDA still dominated (87.76% adults, 39.34% children) and AR was marginal (4.08% adults, 2.84% children). This falsifies Lewis's prediction that non-equally-realistic disjuncts should yield AR.

                                                              From enum stipulation to substrate derivation #

                                                              The SDATheory.predictedPreSDA enum in §11 records each framework's predicted pre-SDA stage as a stipulation. The two SDA-deriving mature accounts (homogeneity / exhaustification) themselves coincide on the SDA inference proper — verifiable at the Lean substrate level via:

                                                              The cross-mechanism agreement BarLevFox2020.bar_lev_fox_sda_implies_santorio_sda_inference proves that on the shared 4-world SDAWorld model, Bar-Lev/Fox's Exh^{IE+II} verdict entails Santorio's sdaEval verdict on the SDA inference proper. Bar-Lev/Fox is strictly stronger (also derives ¬((p∧q)□→r)); Santorio is silent on the conjunctive negation. They agree on the SDA inference itself — the empirical pattern this study measures.

                                                              The developmental contrast between the two accounts (Santorio: DCR→SDA via homogeneity-gap-then-resolution; Bar-Lev/Fox: AR→SDA via EXH-acquisition) is about different stages of the developmental trajectory, not about disagreement on the mature SDA prediction. The empirical finding (DCR→SDA, AR nearly absent) thus distinguishes the two only at the developmental level, not the mature-grammar level.

                                                              Substrate witness for the mature-grammar agreement: on the shared 4-world SDAWorld model from BarLevFox2020.lean, Bar-Lev/Fox's Exh^{IE+II} verdict at .actual entails Santorio's sdaEval verdict on the SDA inference. Direct re-export of the cross-framework theorem proved in BarLevFox2020.lean §7.

                                                              Bar-Lev/Fox derives a STRICTLY STRONGER verdict than Santorio on the same model: in addition to the SDA inference proper, Bar-Lev/Fox's Exh^{IE+II} derives ¬((p∧q)□→r). This is the Innocent-Exclusion-of-the-conjunctive-alternative component (paper eqn 67 p. 206) that has no analogue in Santorio's homogeneity-based derivation.